Builders, investors like boomers, but don’t like rising land prices

INVESTING IN TEXAS REAL ESTATE

Builders, investors like boomers,
but don’t like rising land prices

INVESTMENT columnist

Five years ago, as the first group of baby boomers began to slow down their work pace and contemplate semi-retirement, the National Association of Home Builders thought it wise to start a Seniors Housing Council to understand what this segment of the population really wanted in its next home.

This group of potential customers became so significant that NAHB even held an annual conference dedicated to the niche – Building for Boomers & Beyond: 50+ Housing Symposium this year was last month in Phoenix. In addition, NAHB has even gone to great lengths to change all mention of the word senior to 50+ in all of its promotional material and events. For example, the Seniors Housing Council now is the 50+ Housing Council. (Nobody wants to be considered old – a national magazine is even running a contest for the best synonym for the word senior.)

It seems aging baby boomers – newly named “abbies” or “AB-Bs” – clearly are the most critical housing category. The recent International Builders Show, which attracted 100,000-plus builders, developers, product suppliers, interior designers, architects, and 1,600 exhibits to Orlando, was absolutely dominated by baby boomer themes and targets. Whatever happened to meeting the modest needs of first-time homebuyers and older single widows?

Boomers are pushing the primary housing and remodeling markets, including condominiums, and are the fuel propelling the incredible quest for second homes. They have the cash to afford the next step and are getting more attention because of it. As a group, they are inheriting $1 trillion a year from their parents and grandparents and they are not shy about investing those dollars into the roof, or roofs, over their head.

How do suppliers respond? With bells and whistles. For example, at the recent show there were stainless steel refrigerators and microwave ovens with digital televisions screens set squarely on the face of the appliance, colorful embossed bedroom doors with individual children’s names “when the kids come back home” and even a towable tailgate unit that features a gas grill, refrigerator, and beer tap pop up. The "Gator Pak" fits nicely on your trailer hitch so you can transport it to your favorite stadium. (The name is a huge hit in tailgate-crazy Florida because of the University of Florida Gators. The Florida-Georgia football game is known as “The World’s Largest Cocktail Party.” I’m still not sure how this will catch on with UT or Aggie fans, though.)

Remodelers continue to chart the boomers with earnest, even though they will slow their spending when they get older, according to Bill Apgar of the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University.

 

 

"Boomers accounted for half of all remodeling expenditures as late as 2003,’’ Apgar says. “But the baby boom is not done. Even in their 50s, boomers are outspending their predecessors on remodeling."

Condos have been the big story in multifamily housing in the past year, representing half of the new multifamily units built. Condos are likely to continue to be a factor in many major metro markets – including Houston, Dallas-Fort Worth, San Antonio, and Austin – because of boomer demand. Not to mention traffic congestion.

“The suburban commute has become ridiculous,” says Jerry Starkey, president and CEO of WCI Communities, a Florida developer. “A new generation of working people are focused on adding to their quality of life. They want more time for family and social activities. That long commute has caused the deterioration of their quality of life.”

What is deteriorating the affordable home is the cost of land and infrastructure, plus government regulation.

“Many communities are refocusing growth back on the urban center,” Starkey says. “Land is scarce in these locations. High demand drives the price of land through the roof. To be affordable, it forces housing to go vertical. You have a need for 10-, 20- and 30-story high-rises.’’

Condo prices have jumped faster than house prices in many markets, to the point that median prices for condos are higher than medians for traditional single-family houses.

Layne Marceau, president of the Northern California division of Shea Homes, contends that government fees and regulation add about $30,000 to $120,000 per housing unit in his state. Higher prices continue to push workers further away from the urban core in order to find housing they can afford, which is just as true here in Texas.

"I used to worry about paying for college for my kids," says Marceau. "Now I worry about housing they can afford. How much farther away from me will they have to live?"

Remember the acronym NIMBY (not in my back yard)? The new label from builders frustrated with rising land prices is BANANA – Build Absolutely Nothing Anywhere Near Anything.

 

 
MORE BY TOM KELLY

Tom Kelly’s new book “Cashing In on a Second Home in Central America: How to Buy, Rent, and Profit in the World’s Bargain Zone” was written with Mitch Creekmore, senior vice president of Houston-based Stewart International, and Jeff Hornberger, the National Association of REALTORS®’ former international market development manager. Copies are available on www.tomkelly.com.